With the US and EU showing no sign of stopping their anti-Maduro agenda in Venezuela, it seems that the constitutionally elected Nicolas Maduro will be doing all he can to stop the foreign meddling.
But just how long can this political deadlock continue and will the foreign power’s backing of opposition leader Juan Guaido eventually fizzle out? Sputnik spoke with Julia Buxton, Professor of Comparative politics at the Central European University for more insight on the issue. Sputnik: Is US military intervention in Venezuela inevitable? Julia Buxton: Obviously, the manoeuvres by the US, and these not so subtle psychological messages such as John Bolton scrawling on the back of his notes that the US was planning to re-deploy five thousand US troops from Afghanistan to Colombia, has really ratcheted up concerns that there will be a US military intervention.
Right now, I think that this is really being used as a threat against Maduro, with currently perhaps little real force behind it, but obviously the longer this situation drags on for, and the more challenged Guaido might find himself then I think ultimately the US may start to leverage up the risk and threats of military force.
AP Photo / Ariana Cubillos US Blockade Has Cost Every Man, Women & Child in Venezuela Over $12,000 Since 2013 - Report
Sputnik: How do you see the situation developing? Julia Buxton: It’s been quite astonishing that Maduro has given the weight of international opinion against him, managed to stay in power, but clearly he is supported by the military, he’s supported by Russia and China and Turkey currently, and a number of EU countries have also expressed some dismay of the EU’s quick recognition of the Guaido presidency.
The situation could carry on indefinitely; the challenge for Guaido is maintaining opposition unity around his interim presidency.We’re in a stalemate in Venezuela, and this is why negotiation and dialogue is the only way forward.
Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of Julia Buxton and do not necessarily reflect those of Sputnik.