The final poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics ahead of the December 2024 elections indicates that the presidential candidate of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), John Dramani Mahama, is poised to win.

The survey places Mahama ahead with 51.9% of voter support, followed by the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) candidate, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, at 40.5%.

Other candidates, including Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, garnered 2.1% and 4.7%, respectively, while others collectively secured 0.7%.

The poll, conducted from November 11 to 16, reveals a tightening race in swing regions such as Greater Accra, Central, and Western.

However, it also highlights dwindling support for the ruling party in the Akan and Northern regions as election day approaches.

In the swing regions, Mahama holds 51.1% support, ahead of Bawumia’s 39.5%. Bediako and Kyerematen trail with 7.0% and 2.0%, respectively.

In the traditionally NPP-strong Akan regions, Bawumia maintains a narrow lead with 46.6%, while Mahama follows closely at 44.5%.

In the Northern regions, Mahama enjoys a commanding lead with 64.7%, leaving Bawumia at 33.9%.

The Volta and Oti regions also show strong support for Mahama, who leads with 72.7%, compared to Bawumia’s 19.7%. Kyerematen and Bediako trail with 2.2% and 3.3%, respectively.

The six-week polling average indicates Mahama leading in 13 regions, while Bawumia holds an advantage in three. This includes gains for Mahama in the Ahafo and Bono regions, which have historically leaned towards the NPP.

Among floating voters, Mahama dominates with 63% support, followed by Bediako at 17% and Bawumia at 13%. Among first-time voters, who account for approximately 5% of the electorate, Mahama has 48% support, while Bawumia trails with 39%.